Real-Time Delphi
Our real-time delphi process
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1Define research designFormulate questions, create evaluation criteria (optional).
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2Choose expertsInvite experts to the RTD according to the research design.
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3Perform the rtdStart RTD and query the findings and assessments of participants.
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4Remind participantsRemind participants of (multiple) participation and motivate them.
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5EvaluationVisualise, evaluate and share results with relevant stakeholders.
What is real-time delphi?
Foresight Strategy Cockpit Real-Time Delphi
Combining individual knowledge for consensus
Real-Time Delphi (RTD) is a further development of the previously used round-based expert survey. Nowadays, a Real-Time Delphi is conducted digitally and over a definable period. When answering the questionnaire, participants are confronted in real-time with the consolidated voting results of the group. They are motivated to participate several times to revise their assessment of the group‘s opinion if necessary. Consensus-building, even on controversial issues, is encouraged and ultimately simplifies strategic decision-making processes.
Configure questionnaires easily
With the Foresight Strategy Cockpit (FSC), the time required for setting up and evaluating extensive expert surveys can be reduced to a minimum. Participants can simply be imported into the system and invited and reminded by e-mail. The questionnaire can be designed dynamically based on rules to ask specific questions in a targeted manner.
Our RTD not only supports the evaluation of entities, but also offers participants the opportunity to write, evaluate and comment on arguments (Dynamic Argumentative Delphi).
Evaluation in real-time
The progress of a survey can be monitored in real-time at the FSC while it is still being carried out. A variety of meaningful visualisations are available for the interpretation of the results. A complete report can be generated and exported with a few clicks. For demanding users, an export in tabular form is available for further statistical processing.
Our values in short
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Functional Real-Time Delphi
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Simple setup and evaluation
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Wide variety of question types
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Meaningful analysis functions
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Integration of the results into further foresight processes
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Comprehensive support and training by our Foresight experts
FSC Modules
Through strategic foresight methods such as Trend Management and Scenario Construction, we can reduce the complexity and uncertainty of a rapidly changing globalized world.
Fact Sheet
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All-in-one Foresight platform for unlimited users
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Modular and web-based system
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Combines qualitative and quantitative data
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Various data visualizations
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Real-time data and expert integration
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Online team collaboration
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State-of-the-art technology and security standards
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Supports teams of futurists and scouts for future knowledge aggregation
Overview of all Methods
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Reduce the amount of coordination and programs needed to manage trends and signals to a single software solution. Through a holistic aggregation of internal information, external expert knowledge and data-driven insights, every unit can collectively contribute to the assessment of relevant trends and their developments.
Summary
Customised questions and the opportunity to exchange opinions serve as the basis for the collection of anonymised data. The questionnaires can be designed dynamically to capture special and complex issues as accurately as possible. By evaluating the survey in real-time and enabling visualisation of the data, findings are readily available and can be processed further. Surveys targeting future-related topics provide information on the prospects for the future, uncover existing problems and provide orientation with regard to anticipated developments, both considering risks and opportunities.
With the help of future-oriented technology and the use of efficient tools, companies can stay in line with the times. The survey brings together a range of expert opinions and provides a snapshot of current developments and events. Consequently, several scenarios can be run through based on the collected data in order to take action to shape the future in a desired way. In all cases, the objective is to use the survey to develop and manage a scenario that is as plausible as possible.
This enables companies to react quickly to new trends. Most importantly, this can provide significant advantages over other companies in terms of their competitive edge.
Speak to our experts to learn more about how real-time delphi can be applied to your context.
Frequently asked questions and answers
The Real-Time Delphi (RTD) is a refinement of the previously much-used expert survey. It is designed to dynamically capture and analyse the fast-paced changes in society. The data collected by the questionnaires can be evaluated in real-time and visualised in compelling reports. The topics for the surveys can be chosen as required.
Using this foresight method, companies receive direct and real-time feedback from their respondents. Through Real-Time Delphis, companies obtain up-to-date insights on trends and developments. In the tailored questionnaires, specific emphasis can be put on topics and any trends that are deemed relevant for the company. Beyond this, an immediate evaluation makes it possible to respond in a specific and customer-oriented way. As a result, a competitive advantage can be created that is sustainable and highly promising.
The Real-Time Delphi is a method that is well suited to the foresight practice as, rather than overnight, changes tend to occur in the form of gradual processes. In this way, trends can be identified at an early stage and the insights obtained can help to accurately evaluate upcoming changes. Collating the different opinions and views of the participants effectively conveys the thinking of the wider audience. With the help of this foresight method, companies have the opportunity to act in time before the competition does. Interim results serve as a basis for developing ongoing strategies. These can be expanded and further developed through subsequent surveys. As a result, the problem of relying on promising future developments and the resulting risk of pursuing the wrong strategy is kept to a minimum.
