Real-Time Delphi

Real-Time Delphi

Rate, discuss and explore feedback in real-time: Our web-based Real-Time Delphi (RTD) is an established method from Future Studies which combines a communicative approach using statistical data. With the power of real-time computation and group response delivery, RTD is offering new ways to create exploratory elements on for inferential analysis.

Our real-time delphi process

  • 1
    Define research design
    Formulate questions, create evaluation criteria (optional).
  • 2
    Choose experts
    Invite experts to the RTD according to the research design.
  • 3
    Perform the rtd
    Start RTD and query the findings and assessments of participants.
  • 4
    Remind participants
    Remind participants of (multiple) participation and motivate them.
  • 5
    Evaluation
    Visualise, evaluate and share results with relevant stakeholders.

What is real-time delphi?

The world today is more unpredictable and complex than ever before. Changes in politics, economics, technology, society and the environment are closely intertwined. Understanding and anticipating them requires interdisciplinary and diverse expertise. To get a holistic picture of future developments, it is therefore useful to consult a large number of experts from different fields. With the help of the Real-Time Delphi method it is possible to do this quickly and easily. Furthermore, the method can be used to collect ideas and creative solutions.

Foresight Strategy Cockpit Real-Time Delphi

Our Real-Time Delphi has all the classic question types of social research, from free text questions to matrix questions to drag & drop ranking. Trends, risks, ideas, actors or technologies from existing foresight processes can also be evaluated, commented on and discussed concerning individual evaluation criteria. If required, participants can make a self-assessment of their own expertise for each question. This helps the subsequent evaluation and derivation of strategic measures. All information provided by participants remains anonymous.
Combining individual knowledge for consensus

Combining individual knowledge for consensus

Real-Time Delphi (RTD) is a further development of the previously used round-based expert survey. Nowadays, a Real-Time Delphi is conducted digitally and over a definable period. When answering the questionnaire, participants are confronted in real-time with the consolidated voting results of the group. They are motivated to participate several times to revise their assessment of the group‘s opinion if necessary. Consensus-building, even on controversial issues, is encouraged and ultimately simplifies strategic decision-making processes.

Configure questionnaires easily

With the Foresight Strategy Cockpit (FSC), the time required for setting up and evaluating extensive expert surveys can be reduced to a minimum. Participants can simply be imported into the system and invited and reminded by e-mail. The questionnaire can be designed dynamically based on rules to ask specific questions in a targeted manner.

Our RTD not only supports the evaluation of entities, but also offers participants the opportunity to write, evaluate and comment on arguments (Dynamic Argumentative Delphi).

Configure questionnaires easily
Evaluation in real-time

Evaluation in real-time

The progress of a survey can be monitored in real-time at the FSC while it is still being carried out. A variety of meaningful visualisations are available for the interpretation of the results. A complete report can be generated and exported with a few clicks. For demanding users, an export in tabular form is available for further statistical processing.

Our values in short

Our values in short

  • Functional Real-Time Delphi
  • Simple setup and evaluation
  • Wide variety of question types
  • Meaningful analysis functions
  • Integration of the results into further foresight processes​
  • Comprehensive support and training by our Foresight experts

FSC Modules

FSC Modules

Through strategic foresight methods such as Trend Management and Scenario Construction, we can reduce the complexity and uncertainty of a rapidly changing globalized world.

Fact Sheet

  • All-in-one Foresight platform for unlimited users
  • Modular and web-based system
  • Combines qualitative and quantitative data
  • Various data visualizations
  • Real-time data and expert integration
  • Online team collaboration
  • State-of-the-art technology and security standards
  • Supports teams of futurists and scouts for future knowledge aggregation

Overview of all Methods

You can download a complete list of our methods here.
  • Reduce the amount of coordination and programs needed to manage trends and signals to a single software solution. Through a holistic aggregation of internal information, external expert knowledge and data-driven insights, every unit can collectively contribute to the assessment of relevant trends and their developments.
  • Collaboratively discuss and rate ideas and other insights. New ideas can be easily created, edited and updated and if necessary, external knowledge can be included through survey methods.
  • Monitor the stability and development of risks in VUCA environments and detect triggers and preventers for future crises.
  • Establish and maintain a sustainable and efficient scenario management by including, linking and analysing all your organizational knowledge resources.
  • Develop agile and future robust strategies and test them in different scenarios in order to be able to react quickly and appropriately to environmental changes.
  • Rate, discuss and explore feedback in real-time: Our web-based Real-Time Delphi (RTD) is an established method from Future Studies which combines quantitative and qualitative expert data to gain new insights.
  • Assign your technological know-how to business and market requirements, develop technology strategies and create tailor-made technology portfolios.

Summary

Customised questions and the opportunity to exchange opinions serve as the basis for the collection of anonymised data. The questionnaires can be designed dynamically to capture special and complex issues as accurately as possible. By evaluating the survey in real-time and enabling visualisation of the data, findings are readily available and can be processed further. Surveys targeting future-related topics provide information on the prospects for the future, uncover existing problems and provide orientation with regard to anticipated developments, both considering risks and opportunities.

With the help of future-oriented technology and the use of efficient tools, companies can stay in line with the times. The survey brings together a range of expert opinions and provides a snapshot of current developments and events. Consequently, several scenarios can be run through based on the collected data in order to take action to shape the future in a desired way. In all cases, the objective is to use the survey to develop and manage a scenario that is as plausible as possible.

This enables companies to react quickly to new trends. Most importantly, this can provide significant advantages over other companies in terms of their competitive edge.


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Häufige Fragen und Antworten

The Real-Time Delphi (RTD) is a refinement of the previously much-used expert survey. It is designed to dynamically capture and analyse the fast-paced changes in society. The data collected by the questionnaires can be evaluated in real-time and visualised in compelling reports. The topics for the surveys can be chosen as required.

Using this foresight method, companies receive direct and real-time feedback from their respondents. Through Real-Time Delphis, companies obtain up-to-date insights on trends and developments. In the tailored questionnaires, specific emphasis can be put on topics and any trends that are deemed relevant for the company. Beyond this, an immediate evaluation makes it possible to respond in a specific and customer-oriented way. As a result, a competitive advantage can be created that is sustainable and highly promising.

The Real-Time Delphi is a method that is well suited to the foresight practice as, rather than overnight, changes tend to occur in the form of gradual processes. In this way, trends can be identified at an early stage and the insights obtained can help to accurately evaluate upcoming changes. Collating the different opinions and views of the participants effectively conveys the thinking of the wider audience. With the help of this foresight method, companies have the opportunity to act in time before the competition does. Interim results serve as a basis for developing ongoing strategies. These can be expanded and further developed through subsequent surveys. As a result, the problem of relying on promising future developments and the resulting risk of pursuing the wrong strategy is kept to a minimum.

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Selection of References
  • AIRBUS
  • European Environment Agency - European Union
  • Techniker Krankenkasse
  • European Commission
  • Bundesministerium für Digitalisierung und Wirtschaftsstandort
  • Melde- und Analysestelle Informationssicherung MELANI
  • NATO – North Atlantic Treaty Organization
  • Bundesministerium für Landesverteidigung
  • Kuratorium Sicheres Österreich
  • SOS-Kinderdorf
  • smart parking in Dubai - Roads and Transport Authority
  • AIT Austrian Institute of Technology